The Great British Electorate have their quirks.
Consider the fate of Tony Blair - He followed G W Bush into a war under false pretences, bombed and otherwise contributed to the deaths and misery of millions of Iraqis, punished the BBC for questioning him and calling a dossier that turned out in the end to be dodgy a dodgy dossier, and he gets a pasting in the polls in 2006 - remember that? Yeah, the press called it pasting, but politicians would line up to take that pasting, because when the dusts settled, he still got a majority. He failed to lose the election.
And Gordon Brown - good old competent, "no flash just Gordon" Brown. The economy undergoes a downward part of the cycle - which it's inevitably going to do going to do from time to time, this time mainly due to external factors from the US; he fails to be as glib and smarmy as Tony; and now his poll number are below the water line.
So, those are the priorities then.
I personally can't believe that it's due to the growing political stature of the conservatives under David "baggy trousers" Cameron. In other words, I feel (unscientifically) that people voted against Labour rather than for Conservative.
This post is an expansion to the train of thought first expressed (in shorter, more slurred form) on Saturday night.
Consider the fate of Tony Blair - He followed G W Bush into a war under false pretences, bombed and otherwise contributed to the deaths and misery of millions of Iraqis, punished the BBC for questioning him and calling a dossier that turned out in the end to be dodgy a dodgy dossier, and he gets a pasting in the polls in 2006 - remember that? Yeah, the press called it pasting, but politicians would line up to take that pasting, because when the dusts settled, he still got a majority. He failed to lose the election.
And Gordon Brown - good old competent, "no flash just Gordon" Brown. The economy undergoes a downward part of the cycle - which it's inevitably going to do going to do from time to time, this time mainly due to external factors from the US; he fails to be as glib and smarmy as Tony; and now his poll number are below the water line.
So, those are the priorities then.
I personally can't believe that it's due to the growing political stature of the conservatives under David "baggy trousers" Cameron. In other words, I feel (unscientifically) that people voted against Labour rather than for Conservative.
This post is an expansion to the train of thought first expressed (in shorter, more slurred form) on Saturday night.


Comments
My vote was fairly party-independent, I voted for who I perceived to be the best candidate. On the greater local election scale, based on soundbites and talking to people, the general feeling seemed to be that life-long labour voters had changed their spots for this one. I really hope it's not down to the economic downturn - that's too depressing a though, especially when aligned as you've done with the war that so many disapproved of. I'm wondering if the leadership change weakened something in the public's perception which made them feel OK about not voting labour this time round?
As I've said elsewhere, I'd love for this to have been the kick in the arse Labour needed to actually change, maybe back in the direction of Old Labour, away from spin and snake-smiles, but on reading recent papers, apparently they're blaming it all on the 10p tax thing.
That'll be blaming it all on one singular factor among many, and sticking the rest of the head in the sand then.
I mean, for all of New Labour's surveillance state hijinks, the British public is still decidedly more liberal on most issues than the American public... the disagreement is real and pretty damn obvious from this side of the ocean. So why did the British public go numbly along with it? I know why we did; because a good half of this country would prance joyfully into the arms of theocratic, totalitarian militarism if the other half of us wasn't fighting them every inch of the way there. But I don't think the same reasoning applies... unless I misunderstand?
I dunno. All I know about British politics is acquired second hand through the Economist, BBC, and occasional Guardian articles.
My theory (stop me if you've heard it before ;) ) is that when Labour finally got in after 18-odd years of Tory government, people expected change. We were promised whiter-than-white, an end to sleaze, and finally, a left-wing government that cared more about people than big business. And, very quickly... nothing changed. We got the same sleaze, the same pandering to big business, cosying up to the US, warmongers that we'd just got rid of. I reckon the voter apathy, and the apathy that stops people being as political as they were in the 80s (when every 2nd song was political) came from a crushing realisation that they are actually all the same, they will all break their promises, and it's getting a bit painful bashing our heads against brick walls.
Well, the way I see it, part of the problem is that the 1980s are still going strong. As you say, nothing changed.
What you say sounds true; it's a mystery to me why the big two parties still have most of the votes.
Edited at 2008-05-06 09:15 am (UTC)
The two big parties are now scrapping over that middle ground. They are desperate to differentiate themselves from each other but terrified to risk walking away from the safe consensus of the centre. I think that's why elections are coming down to personalities and protest votes (e.g. "we're tired of Ken"). There was little substantive difference between the declared policies of Ken and Boris.
I think the mystery of the two big parties is twofold. Firstly, the middle ground they are both occupying probably does reflect the "safest" (i.e. likely to gain most and lose least votes overall) position in UK politics for now. That is a bit depressing but means the democratic system in the UK, such as it is, is sort-of working.
Secondly, until there is electoral reform, in many constituencies a vote for any of the smaller parties will effectively be wasted. Because people know this, many calculate that their best choice is to vote for the least awful of the big two parties. This is depressing and means the democratic system in the UK is broken.
And the Conservatives, the party of the slightly-right-of-center, were also in favour of the war shenanigans, so they couldn't cash in as much as the might have. The largest third party, the Liberal Democrats, did well.
But what seems to be the case is that messing up overseas doesn't lose you votes on anything like the scale of economic problems at home. Which is why a friend of mine who spent a few years in the US is of the opinion that the next US president will not be a Republican. I'm not going to make bold claims on that one.
Edited at 2008-05-06 10:26 am (UTC)